Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
GER
3 - 3
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
13%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
5 - 2
HUN
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |