Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
SUI
0 - 5
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
GER
4 - 0
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
6 - 2
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
52%
21%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
HUN
0 - 5
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |