Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
SUI
4 - 1
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 4
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1913 |
BEL
6 - 2
GER
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
GER
1 - 4
DEN
47%
23%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1920 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1919 |
HUN
3 - 2
AUT
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1919 |
AUT
2 - 0
HUN
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1919 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1918 |
AUT
0 - 3
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |