Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 2
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1911 |
SWE
2 - 4
GER
57%
20%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
2 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
GER
2 - 2
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1911 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
HUN
9 - 0
SUI
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1911 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1911 |
SUI
2 - 0
HUN
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1911 |
ITA
0 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |