Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
IRL
5 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1936 |
SCO
2 - 0
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
NED
2 - 3
HUN
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
NED
3 - 3
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
LUX
1 - 5
NED
32%
21%
47%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |