Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1932 |
HUN
2 - 1
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
GER
4 - 3
SWE
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
FIN
1 - 4
GER
43%
21%
37%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
GER
2 - 0
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
GER
4 - 2
DEN
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
NED
1 - 2
CSK
49%
21%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
NED
0 - 2
IRL
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
50%
20%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
FRA
3 - 4
NED
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |