Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1925 |
FIN
3 - 5
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1925 |
NED
2 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1924 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
NED
5 - 0
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
NED
4 - 2
DEN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1925 |
NED
5 - 0
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1925 |
SUI
4 - 1
NED
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |