Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1922 |
GER
0 - 0
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1922 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1922 |
GER
2 - 2
SUI
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1921 |
FIN
3 - 3
GER
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
NED
8 - 1
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SUI
5 - 0
NED
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1922 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
61%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |