Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1912 |
GER
16 - 0
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
GER
1 - 5
AUT
63%
19%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1912 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 4
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
NED
9 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
NED
3 - 1
AUT
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
SWE
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |