Germany vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 2
GER
15%
18%
67%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
NED
1 - 2
GER
43%
22%
35%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
66%
18%
15%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
85%
11%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SUI
5 - 3
GER
16%
21%
63%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 2
CZE
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
GRC
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
19%
27%
54%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 1
SVN
68%
21%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |