Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
KOR
2 - 0
GER
12%
17%
71%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
SWE
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
GER
0 - 1
MEX
66%
19%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
KSA
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
AUT
2 - 1
GER
12%
18%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 2
CRO
59%
22%
19%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
URU
0 - 2
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 3
ARG
50%
24%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |