Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
11.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
IRL
5 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
54%
19%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
FRA
1 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1936 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
62%
18%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
FRA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FRA
0 - 3
CSK
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |