Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GER
0 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1932 |
HUN
2 - 1
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
GER
4 - 3
SWE
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
FIN
1 - 4
GER
43%
21%
37%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
FRA
0 - 4
AUT
28%
21%
51%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ROU
6 - 3
FRA
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1932 |
BGR
3 - 5
FRA
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
YUG
2 - 1
FRA
23%
19%
58%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
FRA
1 - 3
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |