Germany vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
AZE
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
RSA
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
7%
17%
77%
|
98 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
UAE
2 - 7
GER
11%
20%
69%
|
98 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FIN
2 - 1
WAL
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
FIN
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 24 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
20%
28%
53%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 3
RUS
28%
26%
45%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |