Germany vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
GER
1 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
GER
2 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
GER
3 - 1
SVK
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1940 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
36%
21%
43%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
FIN
0 - 3
LVA
60%
18%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
DEN
8 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1939 |
FIN
1 - 2
NOR
44%
20%
36%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1939 |
FIN
4 - 2
EST
75%
14%
12%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |