Germany vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
GER
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1935 |
NOR
1 - 1
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
GER
2 - 1
CSK
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1935 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
80%
12%
9%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1935 |
FIN
4 - 1
LVA
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
FIN
5 - 4
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 2
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |