Germany vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1929 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
GER
7 - 1
SUI
67%
17%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
DEN
8 - 0
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
FIN
3 - 1
LVA
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1929 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1929 |
EST
1 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 0
FIN
66%
17%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |