Germany vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1922 |
GER
0 - 0
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
5 - 4
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
3 - 0
FIN
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
10 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 5
HUN
39%
23%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |