Germany vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
GER
64%
17%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1935 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1935 |
EST
1 - 2
LTU
62%
18%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1935 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
80%
12%
9%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1935 |
EST
1 - 2
SWE
25%
21%
54%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1935 |
EST
2 - 2
LTU
63%
18%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |