Germany vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GER
1 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1942 |
CRO
0 - 2
GER
45%
22%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
GER
4 - 0
SVK
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
GER
1 - 1
DEN
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
FIN
0 - 6
GER
32%
21%
47%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 0
FRA
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SUI
0 - 2
ESP
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |