Germany vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1935 |
GER
3 - 1
IRL
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
1 - 6
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
FRA
1 - 3
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
GER
4 - 0
SUI
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1935 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
ESP
3 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |