Germany vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1939 |
GER
5 - 2
ITA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
GER
4 - 4
MOR
71%
15%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BGR
1 - 2
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
YUG
1 - 5
GER
39%
21%
40%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
HUN
5 - 1
GER
59%
18%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
SVK
2 - 0
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |