Germany vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
ALG
2 - 0
GER
33%
22%
44%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 4
GER
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
GER
3 - 0
TUR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
GER
2 - 2
FRA
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
6 - 1
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1963 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |