Germany vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
SWE
4 - 2
GER
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
FIN
0 - 6
GER
32%
21%
47%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
59%
18%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1941 |
SWE
2 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEN
3 - 3
SWE
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |