Germany vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
12%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
YUG
2 - 0
GER
37%
21%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
GER
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
42%
22%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
GER
13 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEN
3 - 3
SWE
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
DEN
4 - 1
NOR
67%
16%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
SWE
4 - 1
DEN
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
DEN
8 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |