Germany vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
SUI
0 - 1
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
GER
4 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
NED
3 - 0
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |