Germany vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1931 |
AUT
5 - 0
GER
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 0
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
DEN
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
DEN
0 - 2
NED
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |