Germany vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
URU
4 - 1
GER
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1928 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
46%
22%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
GER
6 - 2
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1927 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |