Germany vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
GER
2 - 3
SWE
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1942 |
GER
7 - 0
ROU
80%
11%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1942 |
BGR
0 - 3
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
HUN
3 - 5
GER
56%
19%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ROU
2 - 2
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1942 |
CRO
6 - 1
SVK
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
HUN
1 - 1
CRO
71%
16%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
SVK
1 - 2
CRO
51%
22%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1942 |
CRO
6 - 0
BGR
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |