Germany vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
GER
4 - 2
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
CRO
1 - 1
HUN
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1940 |
HUN
1 - 0
CRO
72%
15%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1936 |
CRO
1 - 2
WAL
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
NIR
1 - 3
CRO
42%
23%
36%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
ENG
1 - 1
CRO
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |