Germany vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
GER
3 - 3
URU
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
FRA
2 - 1
GER
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
IRL
1 - 1
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
GER
1 - 0
ARG
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
GER
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ENG
4 - 2
CSK
66%
22%
12%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 1
EGY
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
58%
25%
18%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
POR
0 - 0
CSK
37%
30%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
CSK
3 - 0
SUI
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |