Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
GER
2 - 3
ARG
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 3
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1970 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1973 |
BGR
2 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
TUR
5 - 2
BGR
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |