Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.3%
7.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
42%
22%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
GER
13 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1940 |
BGR
1 - 4
SVK
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BGR
1 - 2
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1939 |
BGR
3 - 0
LVA
63%
18%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
CSK
6 - 0
BGR
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1938 |
FRA
6 - 1
BGR
57%
19%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |