Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
9.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
GER
3 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
GER
5 - 0
EST
85%
10%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
3 - 3
YUG
69%
16%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
4 - 0
ROU
46%
21%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
5 - 2
GRC
54%
20%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1935 |
GRC
1 - 2
BGR
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
41%
22%
38%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |