Germany vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
10%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
GER
4 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
IRL
5 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 1
FRA
54%
19%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
SUI
1 - 1
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
BEL
3 - 2
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |