Germany vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
14.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
NED
9 - 3
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
IRL
4 - 4
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |