Germany vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
HUN
3 - 3
GER
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
9 - 0
GER
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1910 |
NED
7 - 0
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
FRA
0 - 4
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1910 |
BEL
3 - 2
NED
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1909 |
BEL
5 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1909 |
NED
4 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |