Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GER
3 - 2
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 3
GER
7%
17%
76%
|
97 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 2
GER
16%
22%
63%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
URU
70%
18%
12%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 2
SVK
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AUT
3 - 1
LVA
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 2
GER
16%
22%
63%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 0
AUT
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 2
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |