Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ESP
2 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GER
5 - 1
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FRA
3 - 1
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
GER
3 - 0
IRL
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
LUX
0 - 3
GER
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
21%
41%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
AUT
1 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
YUG
4 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1952 |
SWE
3 - 1
AUT
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1952 |
FIN
3 - 4
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |