Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1934 |
CSK
3 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
GER
2 - 1
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
GER
5 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
49%
21%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
AUT
3 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
6 - 1
BGR
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
5 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |