Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1920 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
SUI
4 - 1
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 4
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1913 |
BEL
6 - 2
GER
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1921 |
SUI
2 - 2
AUT
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
AUT
4 - 1
HUN
49%
22%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
AUT
2 - 2
SWE
64%
18%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1920 |
HUN
1 - 2
AUT
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |