Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1912 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 4
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1912 |
NED
5 - 5
GER
76%
13%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1912 |
AUT
1 - 1
HUN
56%
20%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1911 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 2
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1911 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1910 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |