Germany vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.2%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.4%
1.5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
USA
0 - 1
GER
14%
17%
69%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
GHA
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
GER
6 - 1
ARM
92%
7%
1%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
CMR
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
RUS
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
KOR
2 - 4
ALG
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
ALG
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
ROU
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
ARM
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |