Germany vs Czech Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 0
GER
25%
26%
49%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
GER
3 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
14%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 2
GER
14%
22%
65%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 2
GER
50%
25%
26%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
GER
2 - 1
SVK
84%
12%
5%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Czech Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 0
IRL
61%
22%
17%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 3
CZE
8%
19%
73%
|
94 | 39 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
AUT
1 - 1
CZE
29%
27%
45%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 0
CZE
20%
27%
53%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 0
CYP
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |