Germany vs Czech Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
LVA
0 - 0
GER
2%
11%
87%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
NED
31%
22%
47%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
GER
0 - 2
HUN
80%
13%
7%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
29%
26%
44%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
GER
7 - 0
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Czech Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
NED
2 - 3
CZE
65%
20%
16%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
CZE
2 - 1
LVA
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CZE
2 - 0
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
CZE
3 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
CZE
0 - 1
JPN
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |