West Germany vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1966 |
BRD
1 - 0
ROU
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
BRD
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
IRL
0 - 4
BRD
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
NED
2 - 4
BRD
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 6
BRD
40%
23%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1966 |
YUG
0 - 2
BGR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |