West Germany vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
BRD
5 - 1
FRA
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1967 |
YUG
1 - 0
BRD
51%
22%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
BRD
6 - 0
ALB
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1967 |
BRD
5 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
BRD
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1967 |
ALB
0 - 2
YUG
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1967 |
YUG
1 - 0
BRD
51%
22%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
HUN
1 - 0
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
BGR
6 - 1
YUG
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
YUG
1 - 0
CSK
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |