West Germany vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 3
BRD
71%
16%
13%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
3 - 2
ENG
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
3 - 1
PER
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
5 - 2
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
2 - 1
MAR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
URU
1 - 0
SUN
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |