West Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
BRD
2 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1972 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
HUN
0 - 2
BRD
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUN
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1972 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 3
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
SUN
3 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |