West Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
HUN
0 - 2
BRD
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
POL
1 - 3
BRD
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 3
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
SUN
3 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
YUG
0 - 0
SUN
56%
25%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 0
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |